Dutch
researchers administered a translation of the DICA-R interview to the
parents of 403 children 1.5 years after the children had been assessed
with the CBCL/4-18 at age 5. Three groups were selected from a school-based
cohort of 1,317 children screened at age 5: Group E--CBCL Externalizing
score >90th percentile and/or Attention Problems score >95th percentile
(N = 175); Group I--CBCL Internalizing score>90th percentile and
did not meet criteria for Group E (N = 59); and Group N--from the children
who had CBCL Total Problems score <90th percentile, children were
selected for matching to a child in Group E or Group I on age, sex,
and school (N = 220). CBCL scores and psychosocial risk factors were
used to predict five groups of DSM diagnoses: ADHD, CD/ODD, mood disorders,
anxiety disorders, and elimination disorders. As measured by odds ratios
(OR), ADHD was strongly predicted by clinical range scores on Attention
Problems (OR = 23), Aggressive Behavior (OR = 16), Externalizing (OR
= 126), and Total Problems (OR = 34). CD/ODD diagnoses were strongly
predicted by Aggressive Behavior (OR = 39), Externalizing (OR = 28),
and Total Problems (OR = 15). Mood disorders were predicted by clinical
range scores on Anxious/Depressed, Social Problems, and Thought Problems
(OR = 6, 7, 9, respectively), Internalizing (OR = 4), and Total Problems
(OR = 3). Anxiety diagnoses were predicted by clinical range scores
on Withdrawn (OR = 8), Sex Problems (OR = 8), Internalizing (OR = 6),
and Total Problems (OR=3). Elimination disorders had the lowest OR (all
OR < 4). OR for psychosocial risk factors, such as low parent SES,
single parent family, and negative life events, were significant but
generally lower than those for CBCL scores (all OR < 5). The authors
concluded that CBCL scores at age 5 were good predictors of psychiatric
diagnoses 1.5 years later in a community sample and that they yielded
higher OR than various psychosocial risk factors.
Reference:
Kroes,
M., Kalff, A.C., Steyaert, J., Kessels, A.G.H., Feron, F.J.M., Hendriksen,
J.G.M., vanZeben, T.M.C.B., Troost, J., Jolles, J., & Vles, J.S.H.
A longitudinal community study: Do psychosocial risk factors and Child
Behavior Checklist scores at 5 years of age predict psychiatric diagnoses
at a later age? Journal of American Academy of Child and Adolescent
Psychiatry, 2002, 41, 955-963.