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Posted February, 2003
3-Year
Prediction of Poor Outcomes from Parent, Teacher, and Clinician
Ratings of Child Psychopathology in the Netherlands
A
group of Dutch researchers tested the predictive value of parent,
teacher, and clinician ratings of child psychopathology over a
3-year period (Ferdinand et al., 2003). Parent and teacher ratings
were obtained with the CBCL and TRF. Clinician ratings were obtained
with the Semi-structured Clinical Interview for Children and Adolescents
(SCICA). Ninety six children referred for mental health services
were initially evaluated at ages 6 to 12 and were evaluated again
after a mean interval of 3.2 years. The initial CBCL, TRF and
SCICA scale scores were tested as predictors of the following
measures of poor outcomes: school problems, police/judicial contacts,
parent's wish for help, need for outpatient treatment, and need
for inpatient treatment. The cross-informant correlations of SCICA
scores with CBCL and TRF scores were low to moderate, as is typically
found for assessment of psychopathology. All measures of poor
child outcomes were significantly predicted by CBCL, TRF, and
SCICA scores. On the whole, CBCL and TRF scores tended to be better
predictors of poor outcomes than clinicians' ratings. Nevertheless,
after all other scores were partialed out, the SCICA Attention
Problems scale, based solely on clinicians' observations during
the interview, significantly predicted need for inpatient treatment,
which is an especially compelling sign of poor outcomes. This
was evidently the first study to systematically compare the predictive
value of parent, teacher, and clinician ratings of poor outcomes
for children referred for mental health services. The findings
suggest that the predictive power of clinical assessment can be
enhanced by the integration of reports provided by multiple informants.
Exclusive reliance on clinicians' ratings of child psychopathology
may limit the predictive power of clinical assessment. Nevertheless,
clinician ratings can add important predictive power to parent
and teacher ratings.
Reference: Ferdinand, R. F., Hoogerheide, K. N., van der
Ende, J., Heijmens Visser, J. H., Koot, H. M., Kasius, M. C.,
& Verhulst, F. C. (2003). The role of the clinician: three-year
predictive value of parents', teachers', and clinicians' judgment
of childhood psychopathology. Journal of Child Psychology and
Psychiatry, 44, 1-10.
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